Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.708981 0.808851 0.917545 1.044604 1.189046 1.348137 1.536666
2025-03-16 0.548417 0.683568 0.843783 1.047632 1.300085 1.602506 1.992459
2025-03-23 0.460756 0.611493 0.801329 1.057793 1.395198 1.824038 2.410878
2025-03-30 0.388120 0.542299 0.746340 1.035867 1.436076 1.969935 2.736820
2025-04-06 0.333328 0.487050 0.699437 1.013929 1.467689 2.098859 3.044437
2025-04-13 0.286298 0.435495 0.649755 0.979398 1.473656 2.187431 3.297758
2025-04-20 0.271868 0.428874 0.662375 1.034268 1.611577 2.473992 3.861854
2025-04-27 0.257828 0.420691 0.670884 1.082342 1.741939 2.758616 4.446890
2025-05-04 0.244146 0.411171 0.675668 1.123905 1.864401 3.039667 5.049378
2025-05-11 0.226881 0.393727 0.665648 1.139754 1.945595 3.260459 5.572091
2025-05-18 0.204327 0.364912 0.633929 1.115900 1.957693 3.367999 5.913930
2025-05-25 0.186457 0.342232 0.610124 1.102666 1.985481 3.502157 6.309894
2025-06-01 0.172717 0.325811 0.596081 1.106025 2.043973 3.696309 6.832993
2025-06-08 0.160355 0.310673 0.582910 1.109684 2.103294 3.896952 7.386147
2025-06-15 0.150281 0.298724 0.574245 1.120448 2.175914 4.126396 8.010657
2025-06-22 0.136861 0.278938 0.549024 1.097237 2.181806 4.232261 8.409764
2025-06-29 0.124869 0.260739 0.525075 1.074014 2.185023 4.332259 8.804413
2025-07-06 0.112630 0.240805 0.495864 1.037458 2.158176 4.371134 9.080084
2025-07-13 0.111511 0.243775 0.512613 1.095544 2.327197 4.808694 10.196493
2025-07-20 0.109584 0.244814 0.525429 1.146435 2.485438 5.236654 11.328325
2025-07-27 0.107020 0.244203 0.534677 1.190432 2.632632 5.653093 12.469951
2025-08-03 0.102166 0.238043 0.531532 1.207209 2.722458 5.956161 13.392730
2025-08-10 0.094210 0.224099 0.510246 1.181958 2.717699 6.056798 13.880074